Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

911 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps

Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps

The post Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini has gained CFTC approval that opens the exchange up to compete directly in the prediction market. This comes amid rising interest in the booming market as crypto platforms look to tap into its growth. Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Offer Prediction Markets In a release, it was learnt that the crypto exchange has received formal authorization from the CFTC to operate a designated contract market via its affiliate Gemini Titan. BREAKING pic.twitter.com/s4q7QJFu5v — Gemini (@Gemini) December 10, 2025 The approval ends a five-year-long licensing process that started in 2020 and grants the company the capability to offer regulated prediction markets in the United States. Tyler Winklevoss attributed this to the support of a pro-innovation environment by the Trump administration and CFTC Acting Chair Caroline Pham. “Prediction markets have the potential to be as big or bigger than traditional capital markets. Acting Chairman Pham understands this vision and its importance,” he said. “Unlike her predecessor, Acting Chairman Pham has positioned the CFTC as a pro business, pro innovation regulator…” Gemini Titan has received approval to offer simple event-based contracts. These include binary “yes or no” bets on real-world events, such as political outcomes and economic data releases. In the coming weeks, U.S. users will be able to access prediction markets directly on its website, with mobile trading available later. This is just the first step in a bigger plan to expand their derivatives offerings. For instance, they are also exploring interest in additional products that U.S. traders have not been able to use before. This includes crypto futures, options, and perpetual swaps. Along with the derivatives announcement, the exchange also announced support for Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. The integration seeks to make cross-network transfers easier. GEMI Stock Surges Despite Tough First Few Months News of the CFTC…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Earns CFTC Approval for Prediction Market Platform Amid CRO-Enabled Sector Growth

Gemini Earns CFTC Approval for Prediction Market Platform Amid CRO-Enabled Sector Growth

The post Gemini Earns CFTC Approval for Prediction Market Platform Amid CRO-Enabled Sector Growth appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini Space Station, Inc. has secured CFTC approval to operate as a Designated Contract Market, enabling the launch of its Gemini Titan prediction market platform. This approval allows binary event contracts initially, with expansions into crypto futures, options, and perpetuals, boosting U.S. regulatory compliance in crypto derivatives trading. Gemini Titan to offer binary event contracts under strict CFTC oversight, ensuring secure trading for users. The platform’s approval follows Gemini’s 2020 application, marking a key step in regulated prediction markets. U.S. prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket hit record volumes during the 2024 election, with continued growth expected amid regulatory shifts. Gemini CFTC approval unlocks Gemini Titan prediction market for binary contracts and crypto derivatives. Explore regulated trading opportunities in this evolving sector today. (142 characters) What is Gemini’s CFTC Approval for the Gemini Titan Prediction Market? Gemini CFTC approval grants Gemini Space Station, Inc. the status of a Designated Contract Market, paving the way for the Gemini Titan prediction market platform. This regulatory green light, secured after an application filed on March 10, 2020, allows the exchange to offer compliant trading in event-based derivatives. Initially focusing on binary event contracts, the platform plans to broaden into other CFTC-regulated products like crypto futures and options, enhancing investor access to secure markets. How Are U.S. Prediction Markets Evolving Amid Regulatory Changes? The U.S. prediction market landscape is accelerating, driven by recent regulatory advancements. Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket achieved unprecedented trading volumes in October and November 2024, fueled by election-related activity, and projections suggest sustained momentum into 2025, as reported by The Block. Historically, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission maintained a conservative stance, restricting Polymarket operations and limiting Kalshi to select event contracts. However, Kalshi’s successful legal challenge against the CFTC on political betting opened avenues for expansion, including into sports…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Clears Key CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Market Platform in US

Gemini Clears Key CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Market Platform in US

Billionaire Winklevoss twins’ Gemini Space Station received a key nod from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to launch its betting platform

Author: CryptoNews
Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction markets

Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction markets

The post Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini has received approval for prediction markets in the U.S., with GEMI stock jumping after the news. Summary Gemini Titan receives a CFTC license to run regulated prediction markets. U.S. customers will soon trade event-based contracts directly on Gemini. GEMI shares jump in after-hours trading after the announcement. Gemini has secured approval for a Designated Contract Market license, clearing the way for the exchange to bring regulated prediction markets to U.S. users for the first time. The exchange announced on Dec. 10 that its affiliate, Gemini Titan LLC, received a DCM license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission after a five-year review. The approval allows the company to offer event-based contracts to U.S. customers via its web platform, with mobile support to follow. Gemini will compete in a growing prediction-market industry The license lets users trade simple yes-or-no markets tied to future outcomes, such as whether a price level will be reached or whether a corporate or political event will occur. Gemini chief executive officer Tyler Winklevoss called the decision the end of a long application process, framing it as a shift toward a more supportive regulatory stance in Washington. President Cameron Winklevoss added that the CFTC’s current leadership has opened the door for U.S. firms to compete in rapidly growing prediction markets overseas. With the license in place, Gemini enters a space currently led by Kalshi, which also runs CFTC-regulated prediction markets. The approval gives Gemini access to a sector that analysts estimate has crossed $3.5 billion in annualized activity, driven by trading tied to elections, economic data, sports outcomes, and digital-asset milestones. Future expansion plan and Gemini stock performance The company plans to expand beyond event contracts after launch. Gemini Titan is researching regulated cryptocurrency derivatives products for US clients, including futures, options, and perpetual swaps. Although they…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets

A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets

The post A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer For Crypto Prediction Markets Skip to content Home Crypto News Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/gemini-cftc-license-prediction-markets/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets

Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets

BitcoinWorld Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets In a landmark move for cryptocurrency regulation, the Gemini exchange has achieved a significant victory. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has granted Gemini a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license. This pivotal approval, reported by The Block, unlocks a new frontier for the exchange, allowing it to formally launch its own prediction market and […] This post Gemini Secures Landmark CFTC License: A Game-Changer for Crypto Prediction Markets first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market

Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market

The post Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Connecticut Enforcement Against Kalshi Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A federal judge in Connecticut has issued a temporary order blocking the state from enforcing gambling laws against prediction market platform Kalshi, providing relief while the court considers a preliminary injunction request. This stems from cease-and-desist letters sent to Kalshi and others for alleged unlicensed sports gambling operations. Kalshi operates as a CFTC-designated contract market, claiming federal jurisdiction preempts state regulations. The temporary block prevents enforcement actions based on the state’s cease-and-desist letter until oral arguments in February 2026. Similar legal battles in other states like Nevada highlight the ongoing nationwide regulatory challenges for prediction markets, with Kalshi facing mixed outcomes. Kalshi Connecticut court order blocks state gambling enforcement temporarily. Learn how this impacts prediction markets and CFTC oversight in crypto trading. Stay updated on regulatory developments—subscribe for insights today. What is the Kalshi Connecticut Court Order? The Kalshi Connecticut court order represents a significant temporary victory for the prediction market platform Kalshi in its battle against state-level gambling regulations. Issued by U.S. District Court Judge Victor Bolden on Monday, the order instructs Connecticut state officials to halt any enforcement actions related to a recent cease-and-desist letter sent to Kalshi. This pause remains in effect while the court evaluates Kalshi’s motion for a preliminary injunction, with oral arguments set for February 12, 2026. The decision underscores the tension between federal oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and state gambling laws, particularly for platforms offering event contracts that resemble sports betting. How Does Connecticut’s Cease-and-Desist Affect Kalshi’s Operations? Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection, through its Gaming Division, issued cease-and-desist letters last week to Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com, accusing them of providing unlicensed online sports gambling to state residents. The letters demanded an immediate stop to offering sports event contracts and required platforms to allow users to withdraw funds, warning…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Stripe Backed Tempo Opens Stablecoin Testnet

Stripe Backed Tempo Opens Stablecoin Testnet

The post Stripe Backed Tempo Opens Stablecoin Testnet appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Tempo opens a public testnet backed by Stripe and Paradigm for stablecoin settlement. The payments first chain uses reserved blockspace and sub cent fees paid in USDT and USDC. UBS, Mastercard, Visa, OpenAI and others are already testing cross border and agentic payment flows. Tempo, a blockchain for payments backed by Stripe and Paradigm, announced on Tuesday that its public testnet is now open to developers worldwide. The move builds on the concept unveiled in September. As per Bloomberg report, Tempo debuts a functioning network that companies can begin experimenting with immediately. Stripe’s existing payments infrastructure is expected to connect with the network once it reaches mainnet in 2026. Paradigm, which guides the network’s technical direction, said that the goal is to make stablecoins practical instruments for real world commerce. A Payments-First Chain Built for Predictability Tempo has a payments-first design that separates transfer activity from the rest of the network. The goal here is to prevent the fee spikes and congestion that often arise on general-purpose blockchains whenever volumes jump. The chain reserves its own blockspace for transfers, allowing stable settlement times and transaction costs measured around 0.1 cent. By removing reliance on a volatile native token, Tempo allows fees to be paid in familiar USD stablecoins such as USDT and USDC.  The network supports microtransactions, global remittances, tokenized deposits, and agentic payments straight out of the box. Its early technical suite includes stablecoin swap tools, passkey authentication, and full EVM compatibility. Related: Kyrgyzstan launches $50M gold-backed USDKG stablecoin to modernize cross-border payments Tempo currently relies on four rotating validators operated by the team, though it plans to incorporate design-partner validators and later open the validator set entirely. A Growing Roster of Global Partners UBS, Cross River Bank, Mastercard, Klarna, and prediction-market operator Kalshi joined the testnet opening along…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Federal Pause in Connecticut Case

Federal Pause in Connecticut Case

The post Federal Pause in Connecticut Case appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A high-stakes legal showdown over Kalshi prediction markets has escalated, as a federal court steps in to pause a contentious enforcement push from Connecticut regulators. Judge pauses Connecticut gambling order targeting Kalshi A federal judge has temporarily shielded Kalshi from a Connecticut gambling order, after the state accused the prediction platform of running unlicensed online wagering. The decision offers short-term protection while a broader jurisdictional battle plays out in federal court. The ruling blocks Connecticut from enforcing its cease-and-desist directive as the legal fight over Kalshi’s regulatory status stretches into early 2026. However, the reprieve is only temporary, with a strict briefing schedule now in place. Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) issued cease-and-desist notices on Dec. 2 to Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com. The agency alleged that each platform was offering unlicensed sports wagering through what it called “online sports event contracts”. Kalshi argues federal derivatives oversight and CFTC authority A day after receiving the notice, Kalshi sued the DCP in federal court. The company contends that its event-based contracts are financial derivatives, not gambling products, and therefore sit under the CFTC’s exclusive purview rather than state law. On Monday, Judge Vernon Oliver ordered the DCP to refrain from taking any enforcement action while the court evaluates Kalshi’s request for temporary relief. Moreover, the judge set a clear timetable for the next phase of the case. Under the schedule, the DCP must file its response by Jan. 9. Kalshi will then submit additional arguments by Jan. 30, with oral arguments expected in mid-February. That said, the outcome could have implications well beyond Connecticut. Kalshi, which the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has designated as a federally regulated contract market, began offering event-based contracts nationwide earlier this year. Its markets span sports, weather, and political outcomes, deepening the ongoing cftc jurisdiction dispute…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket faces major credibility crisis after whales forced a “YES” UFO vote without evidence

Polymarket faces major credibility crisis after whales forced a “YES” UFO vote without evidence

Polymarket just resolved “YES” on a $16 million market asking whether the Trump administration would declassify UFO files in 2025… even though no documents have been released. The outcome arrived after late-session buying near 99 to 99.9 cents, and a resolution through UMA’s Optimistic Oracle, which recorded multiple disputes before finalization. The oracle pipeline relies […] The post Polymarket faces major credibility crisis after whales forced a “YES” UFO vote without evidence appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Author: CryptoSlate