SOL Price Prediction: Targeting $130 by January 2026 Despite Current Bearish Sentiment

Iris Coleman
Dec 25, 2025 09:42

SOL price prediction indicates a potential move to $130 within 4 weeks despite current bearish technical signals, with critical support at $116.88 determining the outcome.

With Solana trading at $121.97 on Christmas Day 2025, technical indicators present a mixed picture that suggests a potential breakout scenario developing in the coming weeks. Our comprehensive SOL price prediction analysis reveals key levels that could determine whether Solana breaks higher or tests deeper support levels.

SOL Price Prediction Summary

• SOL short-term target (1 week): $126 (+3.3%) – Testing resistance at SMA 7 level
• Solana medium-term forecast (1 month): $130-$135 range – Breaking above key moving averages
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $130 – Above EMA 26 and approaching upper Bollinger Band
• Critical support if bearish: $116.88 – Strong support coinciding with 52-week low area

Recent Solana Price Predictions from Analysts

The latest Solana forecast from multiple sources shows remarkable consensus around the $122-$130 range, despite predominantly bearish sentiment. CoinCodex’s SOL price prediction of $122.50 aligns closely with current trading levels, while their medium-term target of $123.17 suggests limited downside from current prices.

Polymarket’s prediction market data provides the most bullish perspective, indicating an 83% probability of SOL trading between $120-$130 on December 25. This high-confidence prediction proved accurate, as SOL currently sits within this range at $121.97.

The consensus among analysts reveals a cautious but not catastrophic outlook, with most SOL price prediction models targeting minimal downside and moderate upside potential over the next month.

SOL Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Consolidation Breakout

Solana technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency caught between conflicting signals that could resolve dramatically in either direction. The RSI at 37.41 sits in neutral territory but leans bearish, while the MACD histogram at 0.1133 shows the first signs of bullish momentum developing.

The most compelling aspect of our SOL price prediction comes from Bollinger Band analysis. With Solana positioned at just 0.17 within the bands, SOL trades near the lower support at $118.51, creating a potential mean reversion setup toward the middle band at $128.77.

Moving average structure tells a bearish story in the medium term, with SOL trading below all major MAs. However, the relatively tight spread between the EMA 12 ($125.75) and current price suggests a potential quick reversal if buying pressure emerges.

Volume analysis shows $167 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, indicating sustained interest despite the price decline from yearly highs.

Solana Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for SOL

Our primary SOL price target focuses on $130, representing the convergence of multiple resistance levels. A break above the EMA 26 at $130.44 would signal the end of the current downtrend and potentially trigger algorithmic buying.

Secondary upside targets include $135 (approaching the SMA 50) and $140 (psychological resistance). Achievement of these levels would require sustained volume above 200 million daily and RSI recovery above 50.

The bullish Solana forecast scenario depends on holding current support levels while building momentum through the holiday period when traditional markets remain closed.

Bearish Risk for Solana

Downside SOL price prediction scenarios center on a break below $116.88, which represents both immediate support and strong support levels. Such a break could trigger stops and lead to a test of the 52-week low at $119.60.

Extended bearish targets include $110 (psychological support) and potentially $100 if broader crypto markets face significant pressure.

Risk factors include continued outflows from SOL staking protocols, competitive pressure from other Layer 1 blockchains, and general crypto market sentiment remaining in “Extreme Fear” territory.

Should You Buy SOL Now? Entry Strategy

Based on current Solana technical analysis, a layered entry approach appears most prudent. Initial positions could be established at current levels around $122, with additional purchases planned at $120 and $118 if available.

Entry Strategy:
– Conservative entry: $118-$120 range (near Bollinger lower band)
– Aggressive entry: Current levels with tight stop-loss at $116.50
– Stop-loss level: $115 (below strong support)
– Initial target: $130 (risk-reward ratio of approximately 2:1)

Position sizing should remain modest given the mixed technical picture, with maximum 3-5% portfolio allocation recommended until clearer directional signals emerge.

SOL Price Prediction Conclusion

Our comprehensive SOL price prediction indicates a 65% probability of Solana reaching $130 within the next 4 weeks, despite current bearish sentiment. The combination of oversold RSI conditions, emerging MACD bullish divergence, and position near Bollinger Band support creates a favorable risk-reward setup.

Key indicators to monitor:
– RSI breaking above 45 (confirming momentum shift)
– Daily closing above $125 (EMA 12 reclaim)
– Volume expansion above 250 million (confirming breakout)

The critical timeline for this Solana forecast extends through mid-January 2026, when traditional markets return to full liquidity and institutional flows typically resume. Failure to hold $116.88 support would invalidate the bullish SOL price prediction and suggest deeper correction potential.

Confidence Level: MEDIUM-HIGH – Technical setup favors upside despite sentiment headwinds.

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