- Ethereum’s exchange balances fell to lowest since 2015, raising supply concerns.
- Analysts warn of potential price squeeze due to restricted liquidity in markets.
- ETH locked in L2, stakings, treasuries limits quick market sell-off potential.
Ethereum’s reserves on centralized exchanges hit a low of 8.8% circulation, reportedly causing concerns of a supply squeeze as institutional and long-term holdings accelerate.
This decline signifies potential market volatility, with analysts predicting price impacts amid the shift towards long-term custody and staking, contrasting with Bitcoin’s 14.7% exchange reserve share.
Ethereum’s Centralized Exchange Balance at Unprecedented 8-Year Low
Ethereum’s exchange balance dropped 43% since July, currently at an all-time low of 8.8% of its total supply. This situation is notable as analysts warn of a potential supply squeeze. Analyst Sykodelic terms the situation a divergence, suggesting possible price impacts.
Ethereum’s locked status in various scenarios, such as staking and DAT treasuries, has effectively reduced the available sell-side liquidity. This strategy could drive significant price shifts as market sentiment evolves. Milk Road emphasizes that once sentiment aligns with supply dynamics, price changes will reflect the supply constraints.
Potential Price Surge Linked to ETH’s Locked Supply Dynamics
Did you know? Ethereum’s exchange reserves have now reached the lowest point in nearly a decade. Historically, such deep lows have often preceded significant market rallies, as witnessed in the 2021 bull cycle.
Based on CoinMarketCap data, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $3,035.55, with a market cap of $366.38 billion. Its 24-hour trading volume has fallen 60.67% to $9.98 billion. Over 90 days, the price has declined by 29.33% from fluctuations in circulating supply of approximately 120.70 million ETH.
Ethereum(ETH), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 08:31 UTC on December 7, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCapThe Coincu research team notes that these shifts indicate a tightening supply environment, which could amplify price responses when market sentiment aligns positively. Historical precedents suggest that significant market phases are often triggered following sustained supply contractions like the current situation with Ethereum.
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Source: https://coincu.com/markets/ethereum-exchange-balance-low-supply-squeeze/
